Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 1041 | 73% | 2026-10-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-12-15 | | Won |
| 841 | 1072 | 21% | 2024-11-06 | | Won |
| 967 | 904 | 59% | 2023-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2023-04-14 | | Won |
| 1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2021-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1139 | 46% | 2021-03-20 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-03-05 | | Won |
| 1103 | 904 | 76% | 2020-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 904 | 73% | 2020-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2020-04-17 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1134 | 36% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2017-02-04 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2012-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1047.2 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).