Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 952 | 55% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 843 | 1052 | 23% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 984 | 884 | 64% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1208 | 37% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1099 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 915 | 67% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 998 | 69% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1035 | 1063 | 46% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1032.4 has a 54.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).