Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 954 | 55% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 879 | 1027 | 30% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 1011 | 885 | 67% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1143 | 46% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1038 | 981 | 58% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1087 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 933 | 60% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1114 | 952 | 72% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1035 | 1138 | 36% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1007 | 66% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1024.8 has a 56.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).