Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (16 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 942 | 57% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 889 | 823 | 59% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 940 | 993 | 42% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1141 | 40% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1073 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 993 | 63% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 989 | 933 | 58% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 948 | 69% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 1199 | 28% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1017.3 has a 55.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).