Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1187 | 47% | 2026-05-25 | Won |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 941 | 1037 | 37% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1146 | 50% | 2022-03-07 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-10-27 | Won |
| 826 | 965 | 31% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1225 | 989 | 80% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 893 | 87% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-12-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1037.8 has a 54.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).