Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (16 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 999 | 40% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 890 | 971 | 39% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 996 | 58% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1033 | 45% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 927 | 70% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1255 | 996 | 82% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1032 | 59% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 939 | 66% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 933 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1116 | 26% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1012.9 vs 1030.2 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).