Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (15 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 924 | 61% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1077 | 989 | 62% | 2021-12-25 | | Lost |
| 989 | 967 | 53% | 2021-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 966 | 68% | 2021-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2021-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1048 | 59% | 2021-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2019-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 905 | 70% | 2019-08-24 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2018-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-02-06 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1085 | 30% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1014.7 has a 53.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).