Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (19 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 1215 | 41% | 2025-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1139 | 52% | 2024-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1154 | 969 | 74% | 2024-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2024-02-26 | | Lost |
| 861 | 1000 | 31% | 2024-02-20 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 892 | 72% | 2023-01-13 | | Won |
| 974 | 970 | 51% | 2022-10-05 | | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-09-14 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2021-11-30 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2021-11-28 | | Won |
| 957 | 974 | 48% | 2021-11-13 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2021-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2020-10-03 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2020-05-25 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1134 | 36% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1059 | 73% | 2016-08-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1024.7 has a 51.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).