Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1012 | 66% | 2024-08-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 1046 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 1014 | 49% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1116 | 1134 | 47% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 977 | 55% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1057 | 969 | 62% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1035 | 52% | 2022-08-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
| 837 | 982 | 30% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1046 | 942 | 65% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
| 926 | 927 | 50% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 892 | 917 | 46% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
| 1166 | 1165 | 50% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1221 | 1109 | 66% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1116 | 38% | 2018-05-17 | Lost |
| 888 | 874 | 52% | 2018-02-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 1111 | 51% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1094 | 1047 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 931 | 1020 | 37% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 874 | 1019 | 30% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1014 | 61% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1043 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).