Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2025-09-11 | | Won |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2025-07-15 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2025-04-14 | A | Won |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2025-01-17 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2024-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-05-03 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-04-04 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 989 | 52% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 970 | 78% | 2022-12-11 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2022-08-13 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1035 | 30% | 2022-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-05-15 | | Won |
| 901 | 966 | 41% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1149 | 28% | 2021-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2020-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2020-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2019-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2019-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2019-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1085 | 43% | 2018-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2018-02-12 | | Won |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-09-21 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2017-04-29 | | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-03-03 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-10-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1042.8 has a 46.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).