The T-Patchers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 931 | 965 | 45% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 927 | 65% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1054 | 1094 | 44% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1095 | 971 | 67% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1053 | 47% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 1116 | 874 | 80% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 874 | 80% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1104 | 931 | 73% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1081 | 994 | 62% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1005.1 has a 57.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).