No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 1110 | 996 | 66% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1165 | 996 | 73% | 2021-04-20 | Won |
| 1255 | 996 | 82% | 2021-04-20 | Won |
| 971 | 1095 | 33% | 2020-04-21 | Lost |
| 853 | 927 | 40% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 912 | 1094 | 26% | 2019-08-17 | Lost |
| 1214 | 963 | 81% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1014 | 1091 | 39% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1008.5 has a 58.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).