Silence That Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 432 (33 on the archive and 399 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 163
Defender wins (German): 269
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 994 | 47% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1233 | 47% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 962 | 939 | 53% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 995 | 39% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 942 | 50% | 2022-06-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 926 | 58% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 997 | 1015 | 47% | 2021-12-29 | Won |
| 1206 | 960 | 80% | 2021-12-29 | Won |
| 1112 | 1023 | 63% | 2021-12-23 | Won |
| 856 | 932 | 39% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1206 | 26% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 932 | 1198 | 18% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 1076 | 932 | 70% | 2021-02-15 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1023 | 74% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
| 912 | 927 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1173 | 29% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
| 943 | 955 | 48% | 2020-09-09 | Lost |
| 881 | 917 | 45% | 2020-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 924 | 52% | 2020-03-19 | Lost |
| 908 | 854 | 58% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 932 | 856 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 962 | 939 | 53% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1044 | 64% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 913 | 74% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1206 | 43% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 943 | 51% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 877 | 66% | 2017-01-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 919 | 68% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 994 | 919 | 61% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1088 | 994 | 63% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1206 | 1186 | 53% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 966 | 931 | 55% | 2015-10-26 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 992.2 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).