Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (21 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 961 | 52% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
| 953 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1047 | 971 | 61% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 698 | 958 | 18% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 987 | 891 | 63% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1048 | 37% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 937 | 951 | 48% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1004 | 48% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1004 | 74% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1172 | 1004 | 72% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 1004 | 928 | 61% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 853 | 965 | 34% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1139 | 32% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 936 | 69% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 975 | 983 | 49% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 983 | 65% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 983.4 vs 981.4 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).