Raid on Moerdijk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch / French): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 956 | 50% | 2024-05-20 | Won |
| 1132 | 1042 | 63% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2018-01-31 | Won |
| 900 | 1238 | 13% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 989.2 vs 985.7 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).