Initial Skirmish
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (19 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (French): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 906 | 69% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 1126 | 35% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1303 | 23% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 790 | 939 | 30% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1011 | 69% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 995 | 1037 | 44% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1138 | 1068 | 60% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1190 | 24% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 1084 | 40% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1086 | 41% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1150 | 1111 | 56% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 1150 | 36% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1303 | 14% | 2016-12-27 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1218 | 26% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 951 | 66% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1079 | 1022 | 58% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1255 | 1068 | 75% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1125 | 74% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1076.4 vs 1089.1 has a 48.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).