Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1055 | 60% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 917 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1079 | 1041 | 55% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1017 | 67% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1080 | 51% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1199 | 842 | 89% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 1019 | 890 | 68% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 1026 | 84% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1058.1 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).