Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (17 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 953 | 52% | 2025-10-31 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1055 | 55% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1088 | 45% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 1065 | 61% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1023 | 74% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 968 | 63% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1217 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1083 | 826 | 81% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 986 | 893 | 63% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1231 | 1077 | 71% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1084.5 vs 1028.4 has a 58.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).