Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (17 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 954 | 49% | 2025-10-31 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1055 | 55% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1087 | 45% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1066 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1065 | 1037 | 54% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 992 | 70% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1029 | 56% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1138 | 825 | 86% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 1053 | 892 | 72% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1274 | 1038 | 80% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1035.1 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).