Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1091 | 48% | 2022-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2020-09-01 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2017-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2017-04-18 | | Won |
| 1142 | 1059 | 62% | 2017-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2016-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1011 | 54% | 2016-10-01 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-09-21 | | Won |
| 1029 | 893 | 69% | 2016-08-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2016-06-04 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-04-03 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1053.3 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).