Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (31 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 66
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 859 | 69% | 2024-01-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2023-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2021-09-06 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1055 | 43% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-12-18 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-06-12 | | Won |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-12-15 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1015 | 80% | 2019-10-06 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-09-29 | | Won |
| 913 | 1037 | 33% | 2019-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2018-10-22 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1147 | 25% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1015 | 80% | 2018-10-03 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2017-12-26 | | Won |
| 966 | 1017 | 43% | 2017-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 989 | 73% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2017-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 927 | 84% | 2017-01-16 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1078 | 89% | 2016-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2016-09-03 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-08-10 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1034 | 66% | 2016-07-29 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1013 | 71% | 2016-07-29 | | Won |
| 972 | 1056 | 38% | 2016-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2016-06-25 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-06-13 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1258 | 49% | 2016-03-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-03-16 | | Won |
| 891 | 1145 | 19% | 2016-03-01 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1045.2 has a 55.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).