Hell at Kiernozia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2019-07-28 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2016-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-07-22 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-07-11 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1109.5 vs 1042.8 has a 59.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).