Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (15 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2026-06-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1076 | 43% | 2026-05-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 993 | 60% | 2026-05-10 | Won |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2026-05-10 | Won |
| 870 | 940 | 40% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1076 | 44% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1185 | 950 | 79% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 976 | 1202 | 21% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 1094 | 37% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1182 | 29% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 736 | 1182 | 7% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1003 | 67% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 1003 | 67% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1219 | 21% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1061.6 has a 43.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).