Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 908 | 45% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1139 | 41% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1169 | 951 | 78% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1035 | 1063 | 46% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1028 | 44% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1256 | 19% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 741 | 1256 | 5% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1333 | 12% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1081.5 has a 41.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).