The Devil's Armpit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1126 | 1077 | 57% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
863 | 954 | 37% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1015.3 vs 1077.8 has a 41.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).