At Sword Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2023-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-12-28 | | Won |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2018-08-07 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2018-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2015-12-01 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2014-11-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 1038 has a 45.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).