Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Tied |
| 864 | 879 | 48% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 879 | 1025 | 30% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1217 | 1145 | 60% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 1025 | 1216 | 25% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1057.9 has a 44.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).