Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 862 | 1007 | 30% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 877 | 977 | 36% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1145 | 60% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 977 | 1209 | 21% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1223 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1088.3 has a 40.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).