Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 16
Defender wins (Slovakian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1166 | 1255 | 37% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 863 | 927 | 41% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 981 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1011 | 67% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1255 | 14% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 1214 | 20% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1074 | 44% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1119 | 45% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1223 | 44% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1108.2 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).