Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1129 | 43% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 917 | 48% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1092 | 64% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1214 | 980 | 79% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1074 | 41% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 996 | 1214 | 22% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 848 | 61% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1084 | 36% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1044.3 has a 52.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).