Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Polish): 50
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 990 | 15% | 2025-08-05 | | Lost |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2025-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2024-11-04 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-05-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-15 | A | Won |
| 901 | 1230 | 13% | 2023-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-04-16 | | Won |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | | Lost |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 974 | 59% | 2023-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2022-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-01-15 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | | Won |
| 996 | 1149 | 29% | 2021-06-25 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1150 | 33% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 994 | 1218 | 22% | 2020-07-23 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2020-06-15 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1002 | 48% | 2020-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-10-07 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1000 | 84% | 2019-03-16 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | | Won |
| 1011 | 986 | 54% | 2017-12-01 | | Won |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2017-07-16 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2017-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2016-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2016-07-12 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1060 | 62% | 2016-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2016-05-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2012-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1025.2 vs 1027.7 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).