Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 978 | 22% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 1019 | 44% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 895 | 1143 | 19% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1015 | 55% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1010 | 44% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1000 | 73% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1098 | 40% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1150 | 28% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1194 | 30% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 992 | 1216 | 22% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 885 | 864 | 53% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 996 | 49% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 989 | 70% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1037 | 878 | 71% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1126 | 71% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1104 | 1075 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 903 | 955 | 43% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1037 | 49% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 986 | 996 | 49% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1058 | 61% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
| 1083 | 1020 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1025.8 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).