Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (32 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 926 | 1141 | 22% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1024 | 54% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 969 | 955 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 955 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 996 | 48% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1074 | 60% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1110 | 39% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 998 | 1276 | 17% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1129 | 43% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 980 | 1214 | 21% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 863 | 59% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1046 | 871 | 73% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1125 | 68% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1214 | 981 | 79% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1069 | 45% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1053 | 44% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1130 | 1056 | 60% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 898 | 927 | 46% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1051.7 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).