Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1266 | 19% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 864 | 1041 | 27% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1241 | 27% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 970 | 1009 | 44% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 862 | 1007 | 30% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 1125 | 36% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1000.4 vs 1067.3 has a 40.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).