Drama, The Park, and Deadly Things
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (10 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2026-04-23 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 905 | 72% | 2020-10-17 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-03-28 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1242 | 15% | 2019-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-02-17 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1077 | 61% | 2017-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2016-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2016-09-12 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-06-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1027.5 has a 51.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).