Drama, The Park, and Deadly Things
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (10 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1022 | 50% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 989 | 918 | 60% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 939 | 68% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 951 | 928 | 53% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 945 | 1263 | 14% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1119 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1055 | 1090 | 45% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2016-09-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2016-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1043.3 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).