Drama, The Park, and Deadly Things
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (10 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 918 | 919 | 50% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 978 | 61% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 974 | 928 | 57% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1171 | 24% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1185 | 1005 | 74% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1223 | 1223 | 50% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 918 | 889 | 54% | 2016-09-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1004 | 68% | 2016-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1021.1 has a 53.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).