Bad Day for the Luftwaffe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 893 | 1026 | 32% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-04 | Won |
| 1263 | 875 | 90% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 1058 | 61% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 2016-04-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.1 vs 1027.3 has a 57.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).