Bad Day for the Luftwaffe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 893 | 958 | 41% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-04 | Won |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1211 | 1167 | 56% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2016-04-19 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1054.9 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).