Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (31 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1225 | 1120 | 65% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 968 | 59% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 865 | 888 | 47% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 1150 | 29% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 1061 | 37% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1007 | 1063 | 42% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 980 | 1140 | 28% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1071 | 918 | 71% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 977 | 957 | 53% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1038 | 75% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1420 | 25% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 1263 | 21% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 961 | 1042 | 39% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 972 | 80% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 937 | 1217 | 17% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1012 | 62% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 1129 | 1039 | 63% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1052 | 986 | 59% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1060 | 986 | 60% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 893 | 885 | 51% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1208 | 35% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1064.9 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).