Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (31 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1048 | 52% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 979 | 888 | 63% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 987 | 1079 | 37% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1160 | 28% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 1027 | 1231 | 24% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 910 | 64% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 876 | 967 | 37% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1180 | 49% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 988 | 1154 | 28% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 995 | 1122 | 32% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1160 | 1141 | 53% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1160 | 1114 | 57% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1056 | 834 | 78% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 1126 | 46% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1165 | 20% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1234 | 987 | 81% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 965 | 68% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1147 | 964 | 74% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 998 | 1031 | 45% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1203 | 996 | 77% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 899 | 49% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1100 | 46% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1038.3 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).