Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2020-07-20 | | Won |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-16 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1059 | 43% | 2017-10-05 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2017-05-17 | | Won |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2016-09-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2016-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2016-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1138 | 63% | 2016-03-20 | | Won |
| 940 | 904 | 55% | 2012-06-22 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1032.4 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).