Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 879 | 1025 | 30% | 2019-02-10 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1002 | 1003 | 50% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 974 | 1025 | 43% | 2016-09-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 1122 | 42% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 951 | 971 | 47% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1216 | 39% | 2016-03-20 | Won |
| 940 | 879 | 59% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 991.3 vs 1014.8 has a 46.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).