Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2020-07-20 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-03-16 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2017-10-05 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2017-05-17 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-09-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2016-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2016-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1170 | 62% | 2016-03-20 | | Won |
| 940 | 966 | 46% | 2012-06-22 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1024.7 vs 1041.2 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).