Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 933 | 79% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 895 | 1044 | 30% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 841 | 1000 | 29% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 1042 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 983 | 56% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 926 | 940 | 48% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1019 | 45% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1142 | 31% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1142 | 825 | 86% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 989 | 988 | 50% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 785 | 74% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 819 | 819 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1034 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1064 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 993.5 vs 977.4 has a 52.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).