Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1048 | 61% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2019-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2019-05-04 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-01-20 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2017-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2016-09-01 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 898 | 64% | 2016-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2016-05-28 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2016-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2016-04-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2016-04-09 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1151 | 41% | | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1009.6 has a 59.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).