Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (17 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 986 | 67% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 899 | 979 | 39% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 908 | 831 | 61% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1081 | 39% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 993 | 934 | 58% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 1025 | 994 | 54% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1143 | 823 | 86% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 898 | 896 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1098 | 888 | 77% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 911 | 932 | 47% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1155 | 1150 | 51% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1081 | 1144 | 41% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1163 | 43% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 994.1 has a 54.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).