Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1048 | 54% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 928 | 865 | 59% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 963 | 992 | 46% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 992 | 46% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 986 | 892 | 63% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1174 | 1124 | 57% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 955 | 1092 | 31% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1168 | 1140 | 54% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1216 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 897 | 898 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1104 | 1077 | 54% | 2016-05-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 914 | 73% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1077 | 1143 | 41% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1151 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1015.8 has a 57.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).