Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 1055 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 900 | 866 | 55% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 961 | 893 | 60% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 893 | 60% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 950 | 890 | 59% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1028 | 61% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 940 | 1152 | 23% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 889 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 897 | 898 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1112 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1119 | 877 | 80% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 1141 | 34% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1154 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1058.8 vs 979.6 has a 61.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).