Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (17 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 29
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 1067 | 59% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 882 | 867 | 52% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 961 | 874 | 62% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 961 | 874 | 62% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 927 | 891 | 55% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1114 | 1069 | 56% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 898 | 897 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1100 | 1114 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1177 | 1209 | 45% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1143 | 40% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1002.3 has a 55.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).