Katyusha's Embrace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (17 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 787 | 1160 | 10% | 2026-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1096 | 43% | 2022-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1054 | 48% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-07-02 | | Lost |
| 881 | 1000 | 34% | 2020-01-03 | | Lost |
| 923 | 1326 | 9% | 2018-08-18 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1029 | 36% | 2018-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2018-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-01-10 | | Won |
| 1089 | 889 | 76% | 2017-03-09 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-02-27 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1205 | 20% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1127 | 34% | 2016-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 931 | 72% | 2016-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 960 | 81% | 2014-01-19 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1012.8 vs 1059.5 has a 43.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).