Katyusha's Embrace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (16 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1129 | 41% | 2022-03-08 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1055 | 48% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1137 | 59% | 2020-07-02 | Lost |
| 882 | 867 | 52% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2018-06-11 | Lost |
| 1242 | 971 | 83% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 874 | 80% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 919 | 969 | 43% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 996 | 1119 | 33% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 963 | 74% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1023.8 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).