Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 268 (46 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 144
Defender wins (German): 123
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 969 | 68% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 894 | 1152 | 18% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 940 | 44% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1152 | 47% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1435 | 1015 | 92% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 969 | 984 | 48% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 910 | 1102 | 25% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 978 | 70% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1057 | 36% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1119 | 51% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1068 | 736 | 87% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1120 | 64% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 1066 | 71% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 999 | 69% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1111 | 54% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1219 | 1051 | 72% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1073 | 1028 | 56% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 826 | 1090 | 18% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1070 | 54% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1121 | 51% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 951 | 57% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1085 | 74% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1209 | 28% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 951 | 68% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1090 | 966 | 67% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 1087 | 58% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 1143 | 42% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1165 | 931 | 79% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1182 | 31% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1216 | 893 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1150 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1084.4 vs 1033.9 has a 57.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).