Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 269 (47 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 145
Defender wins (German): 123
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2026-09-13 | | Won |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2023-12-10 | | Won |
| 1286 | 1000 | 84% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-29 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-01-09 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2019-10-15 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1016 | 48% | 2019-05-12 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2019-02-05 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-11-28 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2018-11-02 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2018-09-29 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-09-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2018-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1235 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-06-30 | | Won |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2017-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1175 | 49% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-28 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2017-01-31 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-01-08 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-01-05 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2016-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-02 | | Won |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2016-06-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2016-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-03-26 | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1006.3 has a 52.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).