Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 266 (44 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 143
Defender wins (German): 122
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1022 | 61% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 894 | 1178 | 16% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 941 | 44% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1178 | 43% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1419 | 1015 | 91% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 996 | 995 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 890 | 1103 | 23% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1121 | 979 | 69% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1043 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1071 | 731 | 88% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1274 | 1087 | 75% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1274 | 1048 | 79% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 999 | 69% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1138 | 1111 | 54% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1274 | 1068 | 77% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 825 | 1138 | 14% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1067 | 55% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1123 | 45% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 950 | 58% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1208 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 950 | 61% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1089 | 910 | 74% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1027 | 56% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1274 | 993 | 83% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 903 | 1102 | 24% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1099 | 977 | 67% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 929 | 77% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1279 | 19% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1216 | 892 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 1149 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1076.3 vs 1035.1 has a 55.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).