Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (21 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1412 | 1109 | 85% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1128 | 40% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1266 | 54% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1266 | 50% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1243 | 26% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 972 | 989 | 48% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 998 | 748 | 81% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 929 | 68% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 974 | 1041 | 40% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
| 1266 | 973 | 84% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 1024 | 59% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 949 | 994 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 974 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
| 1084 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
| 1165 | 1223 | 42% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1058 | 992 | 59% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1223 | 1151 | 60% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1103.7 vs 1072.2 has a 54.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).