African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 13
Defender wins (British): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1125 | 27% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1189 | 40% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 877 | 905 | 46% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1125 | 48% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1226 | 1125 | 64% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1189 | 1217 | 46% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1088.2 vs 1103.7 has a 47.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).