African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (British): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 1241 | 34% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 846 | 993 | 30% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1241 | 1219 | 53% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1082.9 vs 990.2 has a 63.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).