African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 13
Defender wins (British): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1201 | 39% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 910 | 891 | 53% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1201 | 1217 | 48% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1059.6 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).