African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 12
Defender wins (British): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-06-01 | | Won |
| 1121 | 1152 | 46% | 2021-11-16 | | Won |
| 892 | 921 | 46% | 2019-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2018-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-09-10 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-01-08 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2016-10-01 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-06-21 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1036.4 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).