A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (28 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2026-07-19 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2026-02-13 | | Won |
| 996 | 1202 | 23% | 2026-02-13 | | Won |
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2025-09-30 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1138 | 31% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 921 | 70% | 2025-07-03 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1012 | 79% | 2024-12-14 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1092 | 9% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1119 | 44% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 932 | 991 | 42% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 979 | 62% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-06-09 | | Won |
| 1142 | 1059 | 62% | 2017-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-11-12 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1019 | 49% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1310 | 27% | 2016-10-04 | | Won |
| 891 | 1133 | 20% | 2016-06-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1086 | 780 | 85% | | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1037.2 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).