Dare-Death and the Iron Division
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Chinese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1108 | 35% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1002 | 1025 | 47% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1048 | 53% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1032 | 61% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 926 | 1094 | 28% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 966 | 66% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1056 | 987 | 60% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.8 vs 1050.7 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).