The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (15 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 1038 | 34% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1279 | 731 | 96% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1216 | 24% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 1071 | 39% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1138 | 964 | 73% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 980 | 1029 | 43% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1090 | 56% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1274 | 1419 | 30% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 919 | 68% | 2016-12-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1031 | 51% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1031 | 51% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1033.1 has a 55.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).