The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (12 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 944 | 48% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1255 | 769 | 94% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 1214 | 22% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1084 | 35% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1120 | 52% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1009 | 59% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 1044 | 82% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
| 1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
| 1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1039.8 has a 53.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).