Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 899 | 874 | 54% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1347 | 1121 | 79% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1121 | 31% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1172 | 29% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1024 | 74% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1056 | 34% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1052 | 51% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 974 | 1234 | 18% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 838 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1099 | 23% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1073.5 has a 43.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).