Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1269 | 1120 | 70% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1120 | 31% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1141 | 36% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1024 | 66% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 941 | 944 | 50% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1098 | 45% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 973 | 1310 | 13% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 889 | 1044 | 29% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1026.1 vs 1085.2 has a 41.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).