Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 942 | 76% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 931 | 927 | 51% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1012 | 46% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 1031 | 36% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 917 | 76% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1084 | 45% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1310 | 988 | 86% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1073 | 1310 | 20% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 994 | 60% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1022.2 has a 58.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).