Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1126 | 46% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1047 | 48% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 1084 | 39% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1081 | 994 | 62% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1259 | 35% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1069.4 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).