Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1150 | 49% | 2021-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-09 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1034 | 64% | 2019-11-07 | | Won |
| 1011 | 986 | 54% | 2019-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2019-06-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2016-10-01 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1029 | 59% | 2016-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1138 | 63% | 2015-11-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1094 vs 1042.4 has a 57.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).