Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 898 | 1187 | 16% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1090 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1149 | 41% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1142.3 has a 34.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).