Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (19 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 907 | 917 | 49% | 2021-06-11 | | Won |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2021-03-08 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1017 | 49% | 2020-03-01 | | Won |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-10-27 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1216 | 27% | 2019-04-06 | | Won |
| 1292 | 893 | 91% | 2019-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1040 | 68% | 2018-12-02 | | Won |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 913 | 62% | 2017-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 971 | 61% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1320 | 14% | 2016-09-03 | | Won |
| 1162 | 1000 | 72% | 2016-08-20 | | Won |
| 1135 | 898 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1213 | 23% | 2016-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1128 | 44% | 2015-12-04 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1026.5 has a 52.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).