Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 962 | 53% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 980 | 54% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 945 | 1256 | 14% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1026 | 985 | 56% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 966 | 1140 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 985 | 930 | 58% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1171 | 58% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1174 | 45% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1218 | 891 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1140 | 37% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1027 | 969 | 58% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1057.6 has a 49.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).