Bats Outta Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (19 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 27
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1038 | 54% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Won |
| 1116 | 874 | 80% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 1129 | 1029 | 64% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 875 | 1151 | 17% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1099 | 49% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1103 | 49% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1184 | 38% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2017-02-07 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2017-02-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 983 | 50% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 1008 | 970 | 55% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 990 | 994 | 49% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1040.8 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).