Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (28 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-03-19 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-17 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-04-15 | | Won |
| 1258 | 1149 | 65% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2020-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 920 | 79% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-06-07 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1215 | 38% | 2019-06-07 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2019-04-27 | | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2018-07-12 | | Lost |
| 995 | 997 | 50% | 2018-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2018-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2017-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 983 | 80% | 2017-06-10 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2017-05-21 | | Won |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2017-03-12 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2016-05-21 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1055 | 40% | 2016-04-02 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-03-16 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2016-01-27 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1252 | 22% | 2015-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1127 | 53% | 2015-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1056 | 60% | 2015-10-05 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1055.9 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).