Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (29 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1256 | 1147 | 65% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 932 | 72% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 1049 | 48% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1171 | 42% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1026 | 45% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1114 | 985 | 68% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1081 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 972 | 1158 | 26% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1253 | 983 | 83% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1103 | 41% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 954 | 1263 | 14% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 1024 | 42% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 981 | 80% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 1218 | 39% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1174 | 28% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1126 | 49% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1027 | 62% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1069.2 has a 50.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).