A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (17 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-11-12 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1102 | 910 | 75% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 898 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1264 | 952 | 86% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1208 | 1182 | 54% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1186 | 1141 | 56% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1084 | 1028 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1146 | 23% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 891 | 86% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1094 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1024.8 has a 57.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).