A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (British): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
1151 | 970 | 74% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1140 | 857 | 84% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
897 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
1012 | 1009 | 50% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1181 | 944 | 80% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1202 | 1255 | 42% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1084 | 1009 | 61% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
975 | 1223 | 19% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
927 | 982 | 42% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1083 | 889 | 75% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1097 | 1100 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1008 | 973 | 55% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1025.6 has a 55.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).