The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1106 | 47% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 1045 | 36% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 1264 | 1229 | 55% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 879 | 72% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1069 | 970 | 64% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 1048 | 1059 | 48% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 887 | 78% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1042 has a 53.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).