The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1077 | 58% | 2026-06-17 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-09-20 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-08-09 | | Tied |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2021-09-02 | | Tied |
| 1134 | 970 | 72% | 2017-07-25 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1120 | 35% | 2016-08-21 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-08-07 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1060 | 47% | 2016-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2016-01-20 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1016.3 has a 57.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).