First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (18 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 23
Defender wins (Slovakian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1103 | 29% | 2025-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 904 | 72% | 2023-07-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2023-07-18 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-02-13 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1057 | 43% | 2020-05-14 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2019-11-17 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1242 | 23% | 2019-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 926 | 1133 | 23% | 2017-08-28 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1143 | 27% | 2017-08-22 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2016-12-22 | | Won |
| 1074 | 928 | 70% | 2016-02-29 | | Won |
| 928 | 1074 | 30% | 2016-02-01 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-11-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1024 | 55% | 2015-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 1988-02-26 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1049.2 has a 45.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).