First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 26
Defender wins (Slovakian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 910 | 83% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 992 | 53% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 931 | 982 | 43% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 963 | 1116 | 29% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1095 | 54% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1007 | 1069 | 41% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 960 | 65% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1020.7 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).