Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (16 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Belgian): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 948 | 1090 | 31% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1016 | 56% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1055 | 44% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 856 | 66% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 913 | 1061 | 30% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1041 | 45% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1241 | 47% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 1017 | 1125 | 35% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 931 | 1019 | 38% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 1128 | 22% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1310 | 942 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1036.8 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).