Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (13 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (Belgian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 996 | 54% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1024 | 46% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 718 | 1074 | 11% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 965 | 919 | 57% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 882 | 1051 | 27% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 995 | 1069 | 40% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 1173 | 56% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1214 | 1129 | 62% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1125 | 35% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 931 | 1019 | 38% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 888 | 1031 | 31% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1310 | 942 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1043.5 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).