Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1166 | 913 | 81% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1131 | 55% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1013 | 69% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 826 | 80% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1234 | 39% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 890 | 67% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 966 | 49% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 960 | 1131 | 27% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 862 | 83% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1135 | 890 | 80% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1052 | 57% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 974 | 71% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1001 has a 62.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).