Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1012 | 58% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 826 | 82% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1077 | 48% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1156 | 966 | 75% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 999 | 1138 | 31% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1146 | 862 | 84% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 891 | 81% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1097.1 vs 1016.1 has a 61.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).