Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1113 | 57% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1011 | 72% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1138 | 825 | 86% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1233 | 42% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1037 | 54% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 966 | 54% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1099 | 861 | 80% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 890 | 77% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1029 | 64% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1096 vs 1014.9 has a 61.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).