Lagus Assault Guns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (28 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (Finnish): 87
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1005 | 69% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 908 | 936 | 46% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-12-22 | Lost |
| 927 | 864 | 59% | 2021-07-23 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1156 | 71% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1140 | 49% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 1111 | 51% | 2018-03-12 | Won |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1158 | 49% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1093 | 70% | 2017-12-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1043 | 48% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1110 | 63% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1064 | 37% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2016-09-30 | Lost |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2016-05-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1119 | 39% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 854 | 927 | 40% | 2015-12-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1131 | 43% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 863 | 982 | 34% | 2015-05-27 | Lost |
| 884 | 1008 | 33% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 958 | 58% | 2015-03-12 | Won |
| 1141 | 1145 | 49% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1100 | 58% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1044.3 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).