The Only Way Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2024-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2021-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 945 | 76% | 2019-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2018-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2015-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2008-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1067 | 1056 | 52% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1020.3 has a 56.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).