The Only Way Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 8
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 953 | 1056 | 36% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1022 | 69% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 958 | 69% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1135 | 32% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 1112 | 959 | 71% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.1 vs 1022.5 has a 58.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).