Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1026 | 51% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1187 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 931 | 53% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1164 | 891 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1029 | 1132 | 36% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 965 | 875 | 63% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1155 | 40% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1042 | 51% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2015-05-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1037 | 38% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1039.6 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).