Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (13 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 37
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
988 | 1034 | 43% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
1111 | 1083 | 54% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
984 | 1179 | 25% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
981 | 1008 | 46% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
1267 | 962 | 85% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
1059 | 1077 | 47% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1036 | 887 | 70% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
1188 | 1077 | 65% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
927 | 878 | 57% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
1138 | 1154 | 48% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
981 | 1127 | 30% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1044.2 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).