Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2024-04-05 | D | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-06-08 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-01-20 | | Lost |
| 981 | 916 | 59% | 2021-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1115 | 73% | 2020-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2018-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2016-04-02 | | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-11-14 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2015-10-21 | | Won |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2015-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-07-26 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2015-05-31 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2015-05-29 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2015-05-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1010.2 vs 1012.1 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).